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The Floor Is Rising

March 24, 2026

In the span of six weeks, Hetzner announced price increases of up to 50 percent on cloud servers. OVH told customers to expect 5 to 10 percent across the board, though some renewal quotes are coming back 55 percent higher. Alibaba Cloud raised AI computing and storage prices by up to 34 percent. Baidu followed immediately.

These are not coordinated. They do not need to be. They are all responding to the same thing.

What Cheap Cloud Was

For about fifteen years, the infrastructure business ran on a simple loop: hardware gets cheaper, competition gets fiercer, prices go down. Moore's Law and its cousins in storage and networking meant that every generation of hardware delivered more compute per dollar. Providers passed those savings through — sometimes voluntarily, usually because someone else did it first.

Hetzner built a business on this. Their cloud instances were the benchmark that every budget provider measured against. OVH did the same in bare metal. The entire low-end hosting market existed because the floor kept dropping. You could always find someone willing to sell you a VPS for the cost of a sandwich.

That loop is broken.

What Changed

AI ate the supply chain. Not metaphorically. Literally.

DDR5 memory prices have climbed 30 to 40 percent in the last twelve months. Enterprise SSDs are up 15 to 25 percent. Server-grade CPUs are holding steady only because AMD and Intel are terrified of losing socket share — the moment that competition relaxes, those prices move too. And GPUs exist in a parallel economic universe where demand so thoroughly exceeds supply that NVIDIA is printing money faster than any chipmaker in history.

The hyperscalers are vacuuming up components. When Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta are collectively spending seven hundred billion dollars on infrastructure in a single year, they are not politely sharing the supply chain with everyone else. They are buying entire production runs. They are signing multi-year purchase agreements that lock in capacity before it exists. Every DRAM fab, every NAND facility, every enterprise SSD production line is running allocation models that prioritize the customers who buy in bulk.

What is left over goes to everyone else. At whatever price the market will bear.

Power Is The Other Shoe

Hardware is only half the story. Electricity costs across major datacenter markets have increased 10 to 20 percent in the last two years. In Virginia — where 40 percent of the state's electricity now flows into datacenters — utilities are actively renegotiating rate structures. In Germany, energy costs never fully recovered from the post-2022 shock. In Singapore, power is expensive because physics says it has to be.

A cloud VPS is not a static product. It is a continuous commitment of hardware, power, cooling, network, and physical space. When three of those five inputs increase simultaneously, the math changes. You either raise prices or you erode margin until the business stops making sense.

Hetzner chose transparency. Their announcement explicitly cited "drastic price increases in various areas in the IT sector." OVH's CEO said server costs are up 15 to 35 percent in 2026 alone. Alibaba blamed "surging global demand for AI and higher supply chain costs."

They are all saying the same thing in different languages.

The Race To The Bottom Is Over

This is not a temporary spike. The structural conditions that made cheap cloud possible — declining hardware costs, abundant power, excess capacity — have reversed. Hardware costs are rising. Power is constrained. And there is no excess capacity anywhere. The vacancy rate in primary datacenter markets has been below 2 percent for two consecutive years.

Providers who built their business on being the cheapest option are in a particularly uncomfortable position. Their customers chose them on price. Their brand is price. And now they have to tell those customers that the price is going up 30 to 50 percent, knowing that the only reason those customers are there is because the price was low.

Where do those customers go? The answer, increasingly, is nowhere. Because everyone is raising prices. There is no cheaper option to switch to. The floor itself is rising.

When every provider raises prices at the same time, it is not collusion. It is thermodynamics.

The era of cheap cloud was an anomaly, not a baseline. It existed because of a specific set of economic conditions that no longer hold. What we are watching now is the market repricing to reflect the actual cost of running infrastructure in a world where AI has fundamentally altered the demand curve for every component in the stack.

Get used to it.